Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1.708837 1.962830 2.242011 2.571721 2.950606 3.372547 3.878364
2025-06-22 1.361928 1.696548 2.095174 2.605391 3.241765 4.010264 5.010360
2025-06-29 1.094537 1.461881 1.930835 2.574173 3.435387 4.550866 6.109601
2025-07-06 0.870748 1.236518 1.732776 2.456519 3.487824 4.908975 7.024205
2025-07-13 0.770319 1.155944 1.708612 2.560355 3.844497 5.715999 8.665447
2025-07-20 0.694146 1.095020 1.698797 2.677124 4.229726 6.610790 10.564118
2025-07-27 0.626382 1.034303 1.677239 2.767945 4.582215 7.497789 12.576230
2025-08-03 0.559518 0.963577 1.627628 2.802873 4.844493 8.270331 14.508250
2025-08-10 0.484562 0.867553 1.521787 2.725931 4.903579 8.707053 15.923816
2025-08-17 0.412661 0.766015 1.391728 2.586211 4.828926 8.895289 16.913672
2025-08-24 0.367514 0.706038 1.326333 2.552331 4.937881 9.420093 18.589118
2025-08-31 0.327631 0.650208 1.260723 2.507793 5.017927 9.896444 20.230690
2025-09-07 0.311915 0.640536 1.284024 2.644834 5.483425 11.200605 23.766124
2025-09-14 0.286335 0.607645 1.257756 2.679258 5.748194 12.145565 26.715424
2025-09-21 0.257371 0.563661 1.203155 2.647021 5.868993 12.811220 29.173176
2025-09-28 0.224417 0.506476 1.113278 2.525930 5.779356 13.014481 30.635204
2025-10-05 0.213855 0.497247 1.125323 2.632698 6.215041 14.436306 35.123880
2025-10-12 0.205015 0.490655 1.142213 2.752784 6.698796 16.035541 40.288200
2025-10-19 0.194936 0.479705 1.147575 2.846190 7.132248 17.577506 45.556462
2025-10-26 0.182114 0.460306 1.130413 2.882110 7.429192 18.830380 50.288841
2025-11-02 0.164015 0.425265 1.070791 2.802961 7.422674 19.325023 53.110365
2025-11-09 0.144575 0.384113 0.990583 2.659242 7.226444 19.304017 54.531810
2025-11-16 0.132653 0.361054 0.953451 2.624393 7.316991 20.051183 58.211460